Predicted Winners of the 2026 FIFA World Cup - World Ranking
Predicting the winner of the FIFA World Cup has long fascinated analysts, fans and researchers alike, and one of the many prediction methods is to examine the official FIFA world rankings, which attempt to measure the relative strength of national teams based on recent match results, the quality of opponents faced, and the importance of each match played. This is a good method as the rankings are continually updated in the lead up to the World Cup, and provide a snapshot of which teams are performing consistently well at the right time.
Final Order Prediction (Rank)
Here is the predicted finishing order of every team which took part in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, based on FIFA World Ranking. The winner? Spain beat Argentina in the final. All semi-finalists were ranked in the top four, and the top two ranked played off in the final.
| Place | Nation | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina | 1 |
| 2 | Spain | 2 |
| 3 | France | 3 |
| 4 | England | 4 |
| 5 | Portugal | 5 |
| 6 | Brazil | 6 |
| 7 | Morocco | 7 |
| 8 | Netherlands | 8 |
| 9 | Belgium | 9 |
| 10 | Germany | 10 |
| 11 | Croatia | 11 |
| 12 | Colombia | 13 |
| 13 | Mexico | 14 |
| 14 | Senegal | 15 |
| 15 | Uruguay | 16 |
| 16 | USA | 17 |
| 17 | Japan | 18 |
| 18 | Switzerland | 19 |
| 19 | Iran | 20 |
| 20 | Turkiye | 22 |
| 21 | Ecuador | 23 |
| 22 | Austria | 24 |
| 23 | South Korea | 25 |
| 24 | Australia | 27 |
| 25 | Algeria | 28 |
| 26 | Egypt | 29 |
| 27 | Canada | 30 |
| 28 | Norway | 31 |
| 29 | Ivory Coast | 33 |
| 30 | Panama | 34 |
| 31 | Sweden | 38 |
| 32 | Czechia | 40 |
| 33 | Paraguay | 41 |
| 34 | Scotland | 42 |
| 35 | Tunisia | 45 |
| 36 | Congo DR | 46 |
| 37 | Uzbekistan | 50 |
| 38 | Qatar | 56 |
| 39 | Iraq | 57 |
| 40 | South Africa | 60 |
| 41 | Saudi Arabia | 61 |
| 42 | Jordan | 63 |
| 43 | Bosnia and Herzegovina | 64 |
| 44 | Cape Verde | 67 |
| 45 | Ghana | 73 |
| 46 | CuraƧao | 82 |
| 47 | Haiti | 83 |
| 48 | New Zealand | 85 |
Notes:
- The order is based on the FIFA World Ranking June, 2026, the last update to the rankings before the tournament.
- The highest nation in the World Rankings to miss out on qualifying is Italy (ranked 12). The next highest ranked to miss out is Denmark (ranked 21)
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